In early October, the Bing Predicts team took on the U.S. mid-term elections after getting it right in the Scotland Referendum. We set out to forecast who would win the races for state Governor, US Senate and US House of Representatives.
We weren’t perfect but we are proud to report that we got it right in more than 95% of the races - and we did better head-to-head than renowned forecasters including Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
Here’s how the results are looking based on called races and current counts:
Senate: Accurate in 34 of 35 seats (Louisiana run-off needed; not included).
House: Accurate in 419 of 435 seats
Governor: Accurate in 33 of 36 seats
We’ll be turning our predictive attentions towards the NCAA March Madness bracket, the NBA Playoffs, and more in the coming months. In the meantime, keep your eye on Bing for our regular predictions for the NFL and Dancing with the Stars.
- The Bing Predictions and Elections Team